Sample audit
IPCC — AR6 Synthesis Report
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Epistemic Completeness Score — 84% · High Completeness
The synthesis is unusually disciplined about uncertainty: calibrated confidence language is applied consistently, time windows are wide and stated, and the underlying assessments name their own limitations. Scores remain below the maximum because feasibility and deployment claims lean on integrated-assessment-model assumptions that are cited but not stress-tested in the synthesis itself, and because regional distributional impacts are summarised more coarsely than the global aggregates. This is what a rigorous document looks like under audit — the findings are residual gaps, not fatal flaws.
01 / Boundary
Would shifting the start or end date change the trend?
Multiple reference periods are used and justified, and pre-industrial baselines are stated explicitly. The choice of window is shown not to reverse the central findings.
02 / Confounders
Which secondary drivers went unmentioned?
Natural variability, aerosol masking and scenario dependence are named. The residual gap is the treatment of model feasibility assumptions, which are inherited rather than examined.
03 / Uncertainty
Were confidence intervals and caveats preserved?
Calibrated confidence and likelihood language is used consistently throughout — the strongest dimension of the document.
Independent reviewers note that synthesis documents necessarily compress regional findings, and that feasibility assumptions in pathway literature attract less scrutiny than physical-science findings.
Carbon BriefUnderlying emissions and energy datasets allow readers to reproduce headline trends and test alternative reference periods directly.
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